| Preserving
the Legacy
By Kenneth Cline
Under CEO Frank V. Cahouet, Mellon
Bank Corp. has built one of the industry's most diversified
earnings streams. But the bank's independence remains
in doubt until he settles the succession issue.
Frank V. Cahouet seemingly has done
everything right. In ten years as chairman and chief executive,
he lifted Mellon Bank Corp. from near-failure to a grand
success story. The Pittsburgh-based banking company is
hitting on all cylinders and boasts nearly unrivaled earnings
diversification. The company's stock has outpaced most
peers.
So why is Mellon popping up on so many
analyst takeover lists?
There are several answers, all of which
bear on the difficulty of managing a financial services
company in today's pressured environment. Despite its
strong financials, Mellon is a potential target because
of its digestible profile in a consolidating industry.
The company's $42 billion asset base is unquestionably
substantial, but institutions in this size category are
inevitably regarded as prey for the acquisitive megabanks
that now exceed $100 billion in size.
More specific to Mellon, Cahouet's
very success in building an asset management and processing
powerhouse has painted a red bull's eye on the company.
Once a narrowly focused corporate bank, Mellon today derives
59% of its revenues from fee-based businesses such as
leasing, asset management, trust and securities custody.
The 1994 acquisition of Dreyfus Corp. made it the largest
bank retailer of mutual funds. Potential acquirers would
love to get their hands on these fast-growing jewels in
Mellon's crown.
Some of Mellon's perceived vulnerability
can also be laid at the door of Cahouet, whose guarded
stance contributes an element of uncertainty. Although
he is 65 years old and scheduled to retire at the end
of next year, Cahouet has declined to anoint a successor.
He says he will make his recommendation to the board "when
the time comes" but is in no evident hurry to hand off
the reins of power. "I'm not looking forward, you know,
to just circling the globe and having a fun time," he
says pointedly. "I'm paid to run a company!"
The response is typical of a man who
often talks about the need for a CEO to make tough decisions
and execute policy regardless of what critics might say.
Frank Cahouet, known for his self-reliance, will handle
the succession issue as he handles everything else --
on his own terms and by his own schedule.
But leaving that issue open also leaves
Wall Street room to speculate about Mellon's future. "A
lot of it has to do with Frank," says Dillon Read &
Co. analyst Anthony R. Davis. "Cahouet's age, the lack
of an heir apparent and his proclivity to surprise provide
the raw ingredients for something to happen."
Assuming Cahouet doesn't opt for a
deal, his challenge for the next year and a half will
be to maintain the bank's earnings momentum and manage
the succession issue while fending off takeover overtures
and speculation. It will be a dangerous period, when any
major portfolio or operational glitch could exacerbate
the company's vulnerability.
Right now, no grim scenarios can be
discerned. Like many banks, Mellon experienced serious
losses in its credit card operation. But that problem
seems well contained for now, and the bank is enjoying
robust growth in several specialty businesses, including
leasing, asset-based financing, cash management and global
custody.
If Mellon survives as an independent
entity, it could even serve as a prototype for the financial
services company of the future. Not only has Mellon diversified
further than most banks into mutual fund and other fee
businesses, but it also is a leader in the area of alternative
delivery. Investing about $350 million a year on technology,
Mellon is a pioneer in the use of PC banking and video
banking. Additionally, vice chairman Martin G. McGuinn
oversees one of the industry's most aggressive branch
reconfiguration projects. In the last three years, Mellon
has closed 30% of its traditional branches, replacing
them with supermarket locations and "financial centers"
that combine investment and banking services with the
latest electronics.
"Our big objective is to continue
to play out our strategy and not get distracted," Cahouet
says. "We want to make darn sure we keep the pace going."
Takeover Talk
The spectacular rise in Mellon's stock,
particularly since 1994, has made it a difficult bank
to acquire. With a $12 billion market cap, Mellon would
intimidate all but the largest aggressors. But the hurdle
is not insurmountable. It may be possible, for example,
to buy the company for its fee-based businesses and then
sell off the banking franchise to pay for the deal.
This spring, influential analyst Thomas
K. Brown of Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette Securities
Corp. included Mellon on his newly unveiled list of bank
takeover candidates. Smith Barney's Henry C. Dickson likewise
fingered Mellon in his most recent analysis of potential
buyout targets. And Salomon Brothers, in the April update
of its comprehensive "Merger Modeler" report, listed Mellon
as one of its top takeover picks. Salomon further identified
$135 billion-asset First Union Corp. as the "most logical"
Mellon acquirer, based on First Union's well known desire
to expand its mutual funds operation and the fact that
First Union president Anthony Terracciano once served
as president of Mellon Bank.
Salomon analyst Diane B. Glossman says
her firm takes a strict by-the-numbers approach to takeover
analysis. "A number of institutions could afford to pay
an attractive price that still would leave some accretion
for the acquirer's shareholders. Mellon has a variety
of businesses that lots of companies would love to have
and could afford to pay for." Still, she concedes, "That
doesn't in any way suggest we believe Frank is dying to
have his bank purchased."
Cahouet himself dismisses all the takeover
talk as irrelevant to the real issues of running a financial
services company. "I don't understand this fascination
with consolidation," he avers. "The real issue is: are
you really doing a good job for your customers? That's
the driver."
The executive points to Mellon's financial
performance as proof that the company can well serve customers
and shareholders as an independent entity. Last year,
Mellon posted a 20% return on equity -- one of the industry's
best performances -- highlighting the fact that fee-based
businesses require less capital support than those that
produce spread income. The bank's ROE would have hit 32%
but for its practice of using purchase accounting in its
acquisitions. Such accounting loads the balance sheet
with so-called goodwill, sums reflecting purchase premiums,
whose amortization cost Mellon 60 cents a share after-tax
last year. Even with that drag, ROE reached 22% in the
second quarter of 1997, with an annualized return on assets
at the lofty 1.8% level.
The problem is Mellon has not yet demonstrated
the ability to generate high returns over an extended
period of time. The company's financial track record includes
near collapse in the late '80s and earnings shortfalls
related to its acquisitions of The Boston Co. and Dreyfus
in 1993 and 1994 respectively. While Mellon currently
trades at a very respectable price/earnings ratio of 17,
chief financial officer Steven G. Elliott acknowledges
that consistent performance over time is needed to reach
higher multiples.
Elliott does express confidence the
market will eventually reward Mellon's unique business
mix with higher valuations. The company's fundamental
strategy is already set in place; all that is required
now is tweaking performance while adding a selected acquisition
here and there. Mellon is looking for asset management,
trust and cash management opportunities in Europe and
Latin America, for example. Says Elliott, "Now the focus
is on day-to-day blocking and tackling -- execution and
follow through."
But consistency is not assured. Diversified
as it is, Mellon is still subject to the vagaries of the
business cycle, which can unexpectedly disrupt earnings
momentum. Owing to an overly aggressive national mail
solicitation, for example, Mellon was one of the first
banks to suffer sharply rising credit card delinquencies,
in 1996. While embarrassing, the card problem appears
contained for now. Troubled credits are well reserved
and involve only a fourth of the $2.2 billion card portfolio,
which in turn accounts for less than 5% of total loans.
A major stock market reversal could
slow Mellon's investment management units, which currently
provide its strongest percentage earnings gains. Vice
chairman Christopher M. Condron, who runs this side of
the company, says the all-important Dreyfus unit is "in
a very good bear market position," given that only 22%
of its assets are in equities. Yet a market slump would
certainly reduce assets under management, cutting fee
income in turn.
On the other hand, Mellon's low dependence
on spread income probably gives it an above-average ability
to ride out the next credit cycle. The bank's diverse
earnings stream should cushion the blow if corporate loans
begin to turn sour. "In a recession, those fee revenues
may go down, but they're not going to create losses,"
says analyst George A. Bicher, with Alex Brown & Sons
Inc.
Rescue
Effort
Mellon knows something about bad loans.
When Cahouet arrived in Pittsburgh in 1987, the once-admired
"J.P. Morgan of the Alleghenies" was foundering. An over-dependence
on spread income had lured this premier corporate and
trust bank into high-risk lending to southwestern oil
patch developers and Latin American governments. The two
markets collapsed, and Mellon lost $844 million in 1987
after booking a loan-loss provision of nearly $1 billion.
Cahouet, formerly CEO of California's
Crocker National Bank, implemented a two-part program
to save Mellon. He formed Grant Street National Bank,
a so-called "bad bank," to gradually sell off Mellon's
marked-down loans. Second, and more fundamentally, he
transformed the nature of the company itself. The lending
focus went from wholesale to retail. Consumer loans today
account for 42% of Mellon's portfolio, up from 17% in
1986. The Dreyfus acquisition later contributed a major
investment management component. Cahouet also built on
Mellon's strengths in back office processing, which include
cash management for corporations, master trust for corporate
pension plans, and data processing for small banks. Mellon
now ranks among the top cash management and securities
transfer banks in the country.
The concepts driving this transformation
can be traced back to the early 1970s, when Cahouet was
a top executive at California's Security Pacific National
Bank, charged with building an array of nonbank financial
businesses. Working with David R. Lovejoy, now Mellon's
vice chairman in charge of financial markets and corporate
development, Cahouet took SecPac into consumer finance,
leasing, institutional funds management and insurance.
SecPac's consumer finance unit, most recently part of
BankAmerica Corp., fetched $1.6 billion when sold to Travelers
Group in June.
Cahouet's experience at SecPac taught
him how diversification can help contain risk. He concluded
that spread-dependent banks -- such as Mellon in the '80s
-- tend to over-concentrate, by industry, customer or
geography, which leaves them vulnerable when the economy
turns down. "You tend not to see the traps," Cahouet says.
"The steps you might have to take to protect yourself
can be directly counter to improving near-term profits.
Unfortunately, you can't just suddenly collapse your business."
The executive further observed how
"customer needs were changing." Retail clients were shunning
bank depository products in favor of mutual funds and
securities. And corporate customers were increasingly
obtaining credit from other sources, such as commercial
paper and insurance companies.
Cahouet can now envision a time, perhaps
ten years hence, when investment grade corporations will
cease borrowing from banks entirely. He fears these corporate
customers will relegate banks to the role of providing
"liquidity insurance" through standby lines of credit.
Concluding that "the narrowly focused
bank was invariably going to get out of touch with its
customer base," Cahouet moved to create a new kind of
bank at Mellon. He set in motion a comprehensive planning
process to identify customer needs and design products
and services to meet those needs. He specifically told
his officers to think outside the limitations inherent
in the traditional banking structure.
Cahouet continues to proselytize for
a new mindset in banking. During the Bank Administration
Institute's finance and accounting management conference
in June, he was asked what advice he had for other banks
interested in buying a mutual funds company. His prompt
reply: if they still thought of themselves as a regulated,
commercial bank, they probably "should stay away from
it."
Controversial
Deals
Defying conventional wisdom has its
risks. As Cahouet likes to say, "You can never be an innovator
and not be criticized." In Cahouet's case, the criticism
came over the two deals that did more than anything to
solidify Mellon's status as a leading edge bank.
Acquiring the Boston Co. and its institutional
custody business in 1993 boosted Mellon into the ranks
of the top three private asset managers, along with J.P.
Morgan & Co. Inc. and Northern Trust Corp. The following
year's Dreyfus acquisition vaulted Mellon to the top spot
among bank retailers of mutual funds and seventh among
mutual funds companies overall.
But the prices paid -- $1.5 billion
for Boston Co. and $1.8 billion for Dreyfus -- were judged
excessive at the time. Mellon also endured negative publicity
over some talent defections from both Dreyfus and the
Boston Co., although Cahouet now insists he didn't lose
anyone he wanted to keep.
"There are those who will take
issue with Frank because they never got comfortable with
his acquisitions," says analyst Bicher. "At the time he
bought Boston Co. and Dreyfus, people viewed those deals
as risky. But in retrospect, they've been excellent."
Indeed, Mellon's overall financial performance has improved
markedly since 1995 while its stock price has tripled.
And what might have looked expensive back in 1993 and
1994 would be considered a bargain today, given the overall
market's tremendous rise since then.
Cahouet's other deals have been less
controversial, since they lacked the scale of Dreyfus
or Boston Co. and clearly enhanced existing business lines.
In July, for example, Mellon bought the commercial mortgage
servicing portfolio of Bankers Trust New York Co., which
added $7.9 billion in servicing to an existing $11.1 billion
portfolio, making Mellon the second-largest servicer of
commercial mortgage loans after General Motors Acceptance
Corp. Last year's deals fall into the same pattern: the
acquisition of USL Capital Corp.'s business equipment
finance unit made Mellon the sixth largest bank lessor;
and 1st Business Bank, a $1.1 billion-asset institution
in Los Angeles, supports Mellon's corporate lending and
services operation on the West Coast. Buck Consultants
Inc. contributed an employee benefits outsourcing component
to Mellon's existing 401(K) and corporate pension services
operation.
Mellon's collection of business units
might seem haphazard, at first glance. In fact, they fit
together nicely when viewed in terms of Mellon's own analytical
framework. The company places each individual business
unit into one of four categories: consumer investment,
consumer banking, institutional investment, and institutional
banking. The retail portion of Dreyfus, for example, falls
under consumer investment services. This framework functions
as both an analytical and a managerial tool and is intended
to help Mellon balance its business mix and earnings.
Capital is allocated to business units individually, but
with an eye to maintaining some rough balance among the
quadrants.
Cahouet insists that all of Mellon's
business units be allowed to reach their full potential
in terms of growth and access to capital as long as certain
hurdle rates are met. The one exception is major corporate
lending, part of institutional banking. It produced an
ROE of only 13% last year, compared with 23% for retail
banking. Consumer investment services generated the highest
return, with a lucrative 49% ROE. Cahouet concedes that
corporate banking cannot meet its hurdle rates on account
of inherently low margins in that business. But he says
Mellon stays in that market to retain corporate relationships.
Mellon's overall strategy for dealing
with customers rests on two goals. One is to migrate consumer
and corporate clients along product lines. When the process
goes according to form, a commercial customer, for example,
will "graduate" from a line of credit to cash management
services. A consumer would go, say, from a college loan
to a home mortgage. The key operational issue is handing
off the customer from one department to another at the
appropriate time.
The second goal in customer handling
is boosting "share of wallet," or the number of products
used per customer. While banks have been focused on this
problem for a decade or more, Mellon believes it can accomplish
the task better than most because of its product diversity.
Acquisitions remain an important element
in Mellon's strategy for increasing market share. The
company sees opportunity overseas for its asset management
business as markets in Europe and Latin America begin
to develop U.S.-style pension systems. Officials also
don't rule out traditional branch networks. The problem
has been price. Vice chairman Lovejoy says Mellon has
unsuccessfully bid on banks for sale in its region but
continues to look. "You cannot ignore the strength of
a good banking franchise," he says. "It has a natural
attractiveness to consumers and businesses."
Succession Issue
If Cahouet retires at the end of next
year as scheduled, he will leave a legacy of achievement
and innovation at Mellon. Preserving that legacy, however,
will require deft handling of the succession issue.
Mellon currently employs nine vice
chairmen -- an unusually large number for the banking
industry -- who convene for several hours, twice a week,
at meetings chaired by Cahouet. In this way, the vice-chairmen,
who run Mellon's various business units, become familiar
with each other's products and services. Cahouet contends
this arrangement allows for better collaboration between
units than would be obtainable in a more hierarchical
management structure.
The true test of cohesion will come
with Cahouet's departure. He picked his chief lieutenants
carefully and they are beholden to him. Five of them worked
with him in California, at either SecPac or Crocker. Up
to now, Cahouet has been the strong leader, the glue holding
this management team together. Will they continue to work
harmoniously under the stress of a succession contest?
"My guess is that each and everyone
of us ultimately wants to run his own show," says Lovejoy,
one of the nine. "I'll put that on the table. But I'd
also submit that each and everyone of us understands the
strength of teams and that good teams always beat collections
of individuals."
Analysts generally agree that Cahouet's
successor must be someone with expertise in some of Mellon's
niche businesses -- institutional and retail investment,
trust, custody and mutual funds -- as opposed to a narrowly
trained banker. Candidates who fit that criteria include
Elliott, Condron and W. Keith Smith, the vice chairman
overseeing Mellon's trust and investment businesses.
It is also critical that Cahouet's
successor share his vision of the future of financial
services. During his long career, Cahouet has been motivated
by nothing less than a desire to transform the very nature
of banking. Recognizing that the different elements of
financial services will increasingly converge, relegating
most bank products to commodity status, he has advocated
that banks reorganize around specific customer needs and
distribution channels. He bills Mellon as "a diversified
financial services company with a bank at its core."
That sense of adventure and missionary
zeal remains intact. As Cahouet told the BAI conference
attendees in June, "Those of us who are truly involved
in the financial services industry come to work in the
morning in this era and recognize it's not a job anymore
-- it's an odyssey."
Mr. Cline
is senior editor of Banking Strategies.
Copyright © 2003 by Banking
Strategies, published by BAI.
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