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Matter of Interest
By Lauri Giesen
Proposed legislation may hurt
the profitability of small business deposits, forcing
institutions to work harder on relationships.
Serving small businesses, always a challenge
for banks, is likely to become even more difficult should
some pending legislation be approved. The exact timing
is uncertain, but the expected eventual repeal of Regulation
Q will raise the cost of servicing small business accounts
at the very time banks are losing market share to nonbank
competitors.
In force since the 1930s, Reg Q has
prohibited some say excused banks from paying
interest on commercial checking accounts. Since larger
customers typically have "sweep accounts" in
which their daily balances are moved to investment accounts
that pay higher interest rates, Reg Q mostly affects companies
whose balances are too small to justify such accounts
typically businesses with annual sales of less
than $5 million or account balances of less than $5,000.
It also affects those community banks that lack the resources
to offer sweep accounts.
Legislation introduced in both the House
and Senate would permit banks to provide interest on demand
deposit accounts beginning after an as-yet-undetermined
transition period following the law's enactment. While
not yet a done deal, the legislation does enjoy support
from business groups and the Bush administration.
Would the loss of Reg Q necessarily
be a bad thing for banks? Clearly, the direction of interest
rates is a key factor. With rates as low as they are today,
customers may not earn enough in interest to justify the
higher fees banks will likely impose to administer the
interest-bearing accounts. Consultant Charles Wendel estimates
the added cost to banks industry-wide to be as high as
$5 billion, assuming a high-rate environment, and between
$1 billion and $2 billion if rates stay low.
"As rates go up, these accounts
could become a much bigger factor," agrees Taylor
Vaughan, senior vice president of cash management services
for First Tennessee National Corp., Memphis.
Community banks, according to Wendel,
may be hit harder than the larger regional institutions
because of their greater dependence on "free"
deposits. But at the same time, these institutions may
improve their ability to compete with larger banks and
nonbank financial companies because they can now offer
interest-paying accounts.
All banks, however, will see some increase
in interest expense. To prepare for that eventuality,
institutions will have to develop new product and service
mixes that attract and retain the most profitable customers
while finding ways to generate additional revenue or lower
the cost of serving others.
Regulatory
Relief?
The importance of Reg Q to financial
institutions that serve small businesses has to do with
the vital role that deposits play in the profitability
of those relationships. "Eighty percent or more of
the profits from small business comes from deposit accounts
either from the ability to profitably reinvest
these funds or from fee income," says Wendel, president
of New York City-based Financial Institutions Consulting.
Generally speaking, lending per se plays
a very small role. Wendel's research, in fact, shows that
the profitability of small business relationships tends
to match up with larger deposit-to-loan ratios. A recent
survey of five banks with two million small business customers
by Novantas, a New York-based consulting firm, found that
85% of these institutions' most profitable small business
customers had deposits but no loans, 14% had both, and
1% had loans only.
"We constantly see banks continue
to focus on the loan side, but they're overlooking the
fact that the majority of their small business customer
base only has deposits with them," says Jason Hardgrave,
a principal with Novantas.
Banks have been forbidden from paying
interest on corporate checking accounts since 1933, in
part because Congress thought the economy would be better
off if companies invested their money in new plants and
equipment instead. Modifications in the early '80s allowed
companies to make up to six transfers per month between
a checking account and special accounts used for bill
payment. This facilitated the development of some special
large-scale automated bill payment services.
In practice, however, large corporations
have found plenty of nonbank alternatives for investing
their excess funds, such as bonds and money market accounts.
And sweep accounts offered in recent years allow these
businesses to make routine transfers of surplus cash from
checking accounts into their other interest-bearing accounts.
The only businesses still largely affected by Reg Q (besides
the banks) are small businesses whose balances aren't
large enough to justify seeking out these alternatives.
The repeal legislation, introduced in
Congress in April 2002, would permit banks to provide
interest on demand deposit accounts. There has been some
disagreement among legislators as to how to manage the
transition from the current system. Right now, the draft
legislation requires a year-long transition period, but
some lawmakers are pushing for a longer time frame.
However long the transition, the odds
of some version passing are considered good, which leaves
bankers groping for a response. "We haven't determined
what our strategy would be, although repeal certainly
will affect the economics of our small business group,"
says Elaine McMahon, a senior vice president at Comerica
Inc. and manager of its small business group for southeast
Michigan. "All we can say now is that we intend to
be well-positioned in that environment."
First Tennessee is likewise in a wait-and-see
mode. Vaughan says his bank has several products ready
should Reg Q be repealed. He declines to be more specific
except to say First Tennessee is working to make sure
its processing systems can support daily sweeps between
checking and standard savings accounts. Part of the decision
to offer the new products, he adds, will depend on how
the competition behaves and the direction of interest
rates.
More Sweeps
But even if banks can start paying interest
directly on checking accounts, businesses with larger
balances are likely to continue to use sweep accounts,
which may pay higher rates.
These accounts, which are legal under
Reg Q, allow businesses to routinely move large sums of
surplus cash between a checking account and an interest-bearing
investment account as needed.
Sweep accounts have been especially
attractive to businesses that keep large sums in their
accounts to pay big bills that may only hit once or twice
a month. Russell Davis, a practice manager with the Washington
D.C.-based Business Banking Board, estimates that 62%
of the funds kept in small business checking accounts
are in excess of the working capital needed, which underscores
the usefulness of these accounts.
Nonbank competitors such as Merrill
Lynch & Co., in fact, have deployed sweep accounts
to wrest small business deposit market share away from
banks in recent years. "Banks were slow to respond
to competitive changes in the market and Merrill Lynch
ate their lunch," Davis says.
While many banks did introduce sweep
accounts, others have either been reluctant to offer the
product or have restricted it to a small number of important
customers because of concerns that the additional interest
expense cut too severely into their profitability. "According
to our estimates, if you move most of your small businesses
from no-interest accounts to sweep accounts, you will
see a 19% decline in the profitability of those accounts,"
Davis says.
Even so, the consequences of not offering
the accounts are probably worse. Davis estimates an institution
can see a 44% profitability decline in its small business
account business by losing customers to the competition.
Comerica, for one, accepts the implications
of this logic. "There are so many factors to consider
in deciding whether a sweep account is right for a given
customer its liquidity, its transaction patterns
but overall, we find the number of companies that
qualify for sweep accounts is growing," McMahon says.
In any event, sweep accounts won't provide
the total solution to retaining small business customers
in the wake of a possible repeal of Reg Q. Sherief Meleis,
a director at Novantas, suggests tiered pricing based
on average account balances the higher the balances,
the more interest paid. This would help align the bank's
expenses more closely with the customer's profitability.
Segmentation
Criteria
Any attempt to institute tiered balances
needs to be based on an effective segmentation strategy
and some robust scenario planning to model impacts in
various interest rate environments. The industry's track
record on this, so far, hasn't been very good. "Most
banks today are not particularly good at segmentation
with regard to their retail customers, let alone segmenting
small business customers," Wendel says.
First Tennessee, for example, bases
its segmentation on a limited number of criteria
typically sales volume, type of business and profitability
to the bank. "We've never gotten very scientific,"
Vaughan says.
Such arrangements might be passable
for now, but they probably will require improvement if
there is rate competition for business deposits. "If
you try to segment using only one or two criteria, you
won't be effective," says consultant Russell Wehrlin,
senior vice president of Atlanta-based Speer & Associates.
"You might have three companies, all of which have
sales of $2 million a year, but it would be wrong to assume
their needs are all the same. A retailer with $2 million
in sales is going to have different needs than a manufacturer
or a law firm with the same sales volume."
Other factors to be considered in developing
products for small business segments include the company's
position in its life cycle and its cash flow requirements.
In looking at life-cycle issues, banks can offer startup
companies credit plans that can help them grow, as well
as provide cash management services to companies that
may be new at handling funds. At the other end of the
age spectrum, mature companies may need assistance with
trust issues and assistance in passing ownership on to
another generation.
Using cash flow as a criterion, businesses
can be separated into two categories: those that make
large numbers of deposits and withdrawals for relatively
small amounts, and those that only post a few deposits
and withdrawals a month for large amounts. "Some
businesses write a lot of checks, while some write very
few but for large amounts. We need to be selective in
finding a product fit that works for each company,"
says Comerica's McMahon.
Comerica has developed a wide range
of criteria for segmenting its small business customers.
The Detroit-based bank has worked, for example, with a
number of small business associations to develop products
that serve the needs of association members. "We
hold a lot of workshops that help emerging companies manage
their businesses," McMahon says. "We also bring
in financial experts to talk about handling cash flow,
marketing techniques, technology implementation and leadership
issues."
Segmenting its customers by demographic
groups, Comerica offers packages for businesses run by
African Americans, Asian Americans, Arab Americans and
Hispanic Americans. It also has products geared for women
business owners.
However they accomplish it, banks will
need to become more innovative in serving small business
customers as Reg Q is put out to pasture. "They can't
afford to let small business deposit accounts fall between
the cracks," says Speer's Wehrlin.
Ms.
Giesen is a freelance writer based in Libertyville, Ill.
Copyright © 2003 by Banking
Strategies, published by BAI.
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